I think this is too pessimistic and highly unlikely. Using my optimistic case scenario, if US has 800 Covid-19 cases per million population as in Germany, it will a total of 265000 Covid-19 cases(142000 currently). We are already seeing the number of new cases falling and the next few days will confirm this trend. Using an eventual 10% fatality rate(as high as SARs), this will translate to only about 26500 deaths. Under my worst case scenario if US' Covid-19 cases rise to around 1500 cases per million population as in Italy and Spain, which is highly unlikely as many of its states are in lockdown till end April, the number of Covid-19 cases for US will rise to about 500,000 and assuming a 10% fatality rate, we will see only 50,000 deaths and not 100,000 as postulated by some US doctors, unless its fatality rate rises to 20%!